PolyTrace
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Trader profile

SuperFake

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$2.5KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate80.1%1,239 settled · past 180 days14 open · 32% underwater · 2 days ago
Lifetime volume$1.3M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded920Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−5.0% / $95% interval −267.2% to +257.3%40 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
−1.6%n=35 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 4 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 80.1% · Decided 1,239 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 days ago
Current position value
$75.3K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$14.8K
Concentration
34.7%
Largest share of value
Positions
45
Showing the largest 8 of 45
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$26.2KPnL−$6Avg96.1¢Current96.1¢27,235.91Shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?
NoValue$16.1KPnL+$113Avg97.8¢Current98.5¢16,360.35Shares
Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
YesValue$12.9KPnL+$619Avg91.2¢Current95.8¢13,513.59Shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?
NoValue$5.6KPnL+$119Avg95.4¢Current97.5¢5,734.89Shares
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
YesValue$5.5KPnL+$820Avg84¢Current98.8¢5,548.95Shares
Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold?
YesValue$4.2KPnL+$125Avg95.9¢Current98.9¢4,270.72Shares
Will New People (NL) win the fourth-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
YesValue$2.7KPnL+$462Avg82.5¢Current100¢2,651.47Shares
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026?
NoValue$1.4KPnL−$5Avg97.1¢Current96.8¢1,461.48Shares
Showing 8 of 45 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
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Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet SuperFake: 80.1% win rate over 1,239 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −5.0% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −267.2%, n=40 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (−1.6% over 35 fills); −$2.5K lifetime P&L, $1.3M traded, updated 2026-09-22.