PolyTrace
← Back to wallets

Trader profile

0x98e1…3241

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$82.5KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate45.7%256 settled · past 180 days1 open · 100% underwater · 2 days ago
Lifetime volume$2.2M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded503Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−23.5% / $95% interval −150.0% to +103.0%218 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−25.2%n=213 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 3 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 45.7% · Decided 256 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 days ago
Current position value
$156
Snapshot cash PnL
−$117K
Concentration
100%
Largest share of value
Positions
185
Showing the largest 8 of 185
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs. Chunichi Dragons
Chunichi Dragons · NoValue$156PnL−$144Avg47.1¢Current24.6¢636.53Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
Down · NoValue$0PnL−$10Avg35.6¢Current0¢28.08Shares
Wimbledon ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Tommy Paul
Tommy Paul · NoValue$0PnL−$250Avg29¢Current0¢862.07Shares
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Cleveland Guardians
Cleveland Guardians · NoValue$0PnL−$1Avg18¢Current0¢5.56Shares
Venezuela vs. Chile
Venezuela · YesValue$0PnL−$75Avg16.4¢Current0¢456.91Shares
US Open ATP (Doubles): Arends/Pel vs Balaji/King
Arends/Pel · YesValue$0PnL−$200Avg57.9¢Current0¢345.13Shares
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Kei Nishikori vs Juncheng Shang
Juncheng Shang · NoValue$0PnL−$510Avg54.6¢Current0¢933.92Shares
Hiroshima Carp vs. Yomiuri Giants
Yomiuri Giants · NoValue$0PnL−$833Avg47.9¢Current0¢1,737.47Shares
Showing 8 of 185 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

BUYYES
Unknown · 8¢
unavailable
$2K

About this wallet

Wallet 0x98e1d7e6bca91c3d80c452dac59bc40f58863241: 45.7% win rate over 256 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −23.5% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −150.0%, n=218 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−25.2% over 213 fills); −$82.5K lifetime P&L, $2.2M traded, updated 2026-09-22.