PolyTrace
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Trader profile

winnner1

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$3.8KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Not measured yet0 open · 21 days ago
Lifetime volume$98.3K67 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded31Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−14.9% / $95% interval −626.9% to +597.1%17 settled fills · 90d window

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 6 hours ago

How this record is measured

This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded1 day ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$6.5K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
9
Showing the largest 8 of 9
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
Down · NoValue$0PnL−$796Avg52.6¢Current0¢1,511.33Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET
Down · NoValue$0PnL−$1.2KAvg75.4¢Current0¢1,559.06Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
Down · NoValue$0PnL−$4Avg30¢Current0¢13.33Shares
Will Hertha BSC win on 2026-08-22?
YesValue$0PnL−$209Avg86.8¢Current0¢240.26Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
Up · YesValue$0PnL−$950Avg62¢Current0¢1,531.41Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
Down · NoValue$0PnL−$2KAvg77.7¢Current0¢2,590.68Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
Down · NoValue$0PnL−$100Avg83¢Current0¢120.48Shares
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves
Los Angeles Dodgers · YesValue$0PnL−$499Avg74¢Current0¢674.14Shares
Showing 8 of 9 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet winnner1: edge −14.9% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −626.9%, n=17 settled fills over 90 days); −$3.8K lifetime P&L, $98.3K traded, updated 2026-09-23.