PolyTrace
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Trader profile

Hakei.

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$102.6KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate71.2%798 settled · past 90 days70 open · 91% underwater · 2 hours ago
Lifetime volume$5.4M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,735Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+15.7% / $95% interval −69.1% to +100.5%249 settled fills · 90d window
Unmapped
+57.9%n=38 settled
Politics
+23.8%n=100 settled
Tech
−1.8%n=33 settled
Sports
−6.7%n=56 settled
Finance
−32.7%n=14 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 71.2% · Decided 798 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 hours ago
Current position value
$49.6K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$22.7K
Concentration
12.4%
Largest share of value
Positions
74
Showing the largest 8 of 74
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$6.1KPnL−$360Avg65¢Current61.4¢9,999.98Shares
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?
NoValue$5.5KPnL+$300Avg78¢Current82.5¢6,666.01Shares
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30?
YesValue$5.1KPnL−$426Avg89.7¢Current82.8¢6,119.99Shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?
YesValue$4.8KPnL−$167Avg54.3¢Current52.5¢9,230.62Shares
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?
YesValue$3.6KPnL−$284Avg86.8¢Current80.5¢4,473.83Shares
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?
YesValue$2.9KPnL−$561Avg55¢Current46¢6,222Shares
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
NoValue$2.2KPnL+$31Avg85.3¢Current86.5¢2,530.21Shares
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
YesValue$1.9KPnL−$2.8KAvg78¢Current31.5¢6,130.51Shares
Showing 8 of 74 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Hakei.: 71.2% win rate over 798 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +15.7% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −69.1%, n=249 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (+23.8% over 100 fills); +$102.6K lifetime P&L, $5.4M traded, updated 2026-09-24.