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Trader profile

JosephTrump

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$11.6KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate57.6%118 settled · past 90 days41 open · 25% underwater · 15 hours ago
Lifetime volume$4.6M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded450Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+25.5% / $95% interval −200.6% to +251.6%32 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+29.1%n=10 settled
Finance
+19.7%n=10 settled
Politics
−0.7%n=12 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 2 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 57.6% · Decided 118 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded15 hours ago
Current position value
$34.5K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$3.5K
Concentration
18.8%
Largest share of value
Positions
42
Showing the largest 8 of 42
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
YesValue$6.5KPnL+$1KAvg78¢Current92.5¢7,000Shares
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
NoValue$4.7KPnL+$275Avg88¢Current93.5¢5,000Shares
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
NoValue$3.9KPnL+$494Avg84.6¢Current96.7¢4,084.52Shares
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YesValue$3.3KPnL+$1.5KAvg32.6¢Current58.9¢5,687.65Shares
Will voter turnout be between 59% and 62% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?
YesValue$2.4KPnL+$932Avg60.7¢Current98¢2,500.02Shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YesValue$1.7KPnL−$402Avg49.8¢Current40.5¢4,315.99Shares
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
YesValue$1.1KPnL−$68Avg79¢Current74.5¢1,500Shares
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
YesValue$989PnL+$293Avg69.7¢Current99¢999.99Shares
Showing 8 of 42 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet JosephTrump: 57.6% win rate over 118 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +25.5% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −200.6%, n=32 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+29.1% over 10 fills); +$11.6K lifetime P&L, $4.6M traded, updated 2026-09-23.