PolyTrace
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Trader profile

Quandal

Market makers

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL−$22.3KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell splitLoading trading flow…3 open · 99% underwater · 19 hours ago
Lifetime volume$1.6M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded923Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+2.7% / $95% interval −76.7% to +82.0%25 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
+5.5%n=19 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 24 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded19 hours ago
Current position value
$234
Snapshot cash PnL
−$5.7K
Concentration
91.4%
Largest share of value
Positions
44
Showing the largest 8 of 44
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
YesValue$214PnL−$90Avg32¢Current22.5¢950Shares
YesValue$0.34PnL−$0.94Avg6.4¢Current1.7¢20Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$1Avg0.8¢Current142Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$55Avg10.9¢Current500Shares
Natus Vincere · NoValue$0PnL−$397Avg52¢Current762.27Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$62Avg12.3¢Current500Shares
NoValue$0PnL−$880Avg85¢Current1,035.29Shares
Showing 8 of 44 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Quandal: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge +2.7% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −76.7%, n=25 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (+5.5% over 19 fills); −$22.3K lifetime P&L, $1.6M traded, updated 2026-09-23.