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Trader profile

terrancewatanabe

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$6.7KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate32%50 settled · past 180 days0 open · 18 hours ago
Lifetime volume$220.6K216 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded107Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−40.5% / $95% interval −399.0% to +317.9%19 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−42.7%n=17 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 7 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 32% · Decided 50 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$17.1K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
71
Showing the largest 8 of 71
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner
KT Rolster · YesValue$0PnL−$60Avg6.3¢Current0¢945.83Shares
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?
YesValue$0PnL−$452Avg1.1¢Current0¢41,669.34Shares
LoL: paiN Gaming Academy vs Ei Nerd Esports - Game 1 Winner
paiN Gaming AcademyValue$0PnL−$10Avg9.7¢Current0¢103.01Shares
Exact Score: Any Other Score?
YesValue$0PnL−$190Avg27¢Current0¢703.7Shares
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner
DN SOOPers · YesValue$0PnL−$230Avg26.4¢Current0¢871.91Shares
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana
Weibo Gaming · NoValue$0PnL−$310Avg2.6¢Current0¢12,116.11Shares
LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
Top Esports · YesValue$0PnL−$1KAvg53¢Current0¢1,886.79Shares
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?
YesValue$0PnL−$300Avg27.7¢Current0¢1,081.87Shares
Showing 8 of 71 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet terrancewatanabe: 32% win rate over 50 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −40.5% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −399.0%, n=19 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−42.7% over 17 fills); −$6.7K lifetime P&L, $220.6K traded, updated 2026-09-24.