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Trader profile

anoin123

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$5.4MPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate47.1%416 settled · past 90 days324 open · 43% underwater · 5 minutes ago
Lifetime volume$119.8M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded416Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−7.9% / $95% interval −69.3% to +53.5%661 settled fills · 90d window
Culture
+15.4%n=11 settled
Finance
+3.2%n=75 settled
Politics
−3.7%n=478 settled
Tech
−37.7%n=94 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 22 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 47.1% · Decided 416 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Complete5 minutes ago
Current position value
$1.5M
Snapshot cash PnL
−$2.7M
Concentration
6.2%
Largest share of value
Positions
628
Showing the largest 8 of 628
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
NoValue$93.7KPnL+$10.3KAvg82.3¢Current92.5¢101,274.14Shares
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
NoValue$82.5KPnL+$10.4KAvg59.9¢Current68.5¢120,472.03Shares
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?
NoValue$76.7KPnL+$48.5KAvg35.5¢Current96.5¢79,548.79Shares
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?
NoValue$72.2KPnL+$15KAvg76.3¢Current96.5¢74,818.35Shares
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
NoValue$64.3KPnL+$13.1KAvg70.2¢Current88.1¢73,014.51Shares
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$52.4KPnL+$8.2KAvg32.6¢Current38.6¢135,755.01Shares
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
NoValue$47.1KPnL−$25KAvg64.4¢Current42.1¢111,979.32Shares
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
YesValue$46.7KPnL+$17KAvg63.2¢Current99.4¢46,940.34Shares
Showing 8 of 628 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet anoin123: 47.1% win rate over 416 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −7.9% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −69.3%, n=661 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Culture (+15.4% over 11 fills); −$5.4M lifetime P&L, $119.8M traded, updated 2026-09-24.