PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0x9631…89a1

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$61.4KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate84.6%220 settled · past 180 days8 open · 15% underwater · 24 hours ago
Lifetime volume$4.1M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded296Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−23.0% / $95% interval −355.5% to +309.5%150 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
−18.6%n=49 settled
Finance
−22.7%n=92 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 24 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 84.6% · Decided 220 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded24 hours ago
Current position value
$48K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$712
Concentration
45.7%
Largest share of value
Positions
9
Showing the largest 8 of 9
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September?
NoValue$22KPnL+$346Avg97.2¢Current98.8¢22,237.69Shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in September?
NoValue$7.6KPnL+$310Avg95¢Current99.1¢7,686.36Shares
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?
NoValue$5.1KPnL+$5Avg96.9¢Current97¢5,299.64Shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?
NoValue$4.8KPnL+$85Avg96.5¢Current98.2¢4,900.98Shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?
NoValue$3.1KPnL+$58Avg95.7¢Current97.5¢3,219.47Shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in September?
NoValue$2.7KPnL−$20Avg97.8¢Current97.1¢2,748.06Shares
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy booster?
NoValue$1.6KPnL+$57Avg95.2¢Current98.7¢1,599Shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September?
NoValue$1.1KPnL−$128Avg92¢Current82.5¢1,351.42Shares
Showing 8 of 9 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0x963137a0ba0b02ebf6f37710023cc1b0303289a1: 84.6% win rate over 220 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −23.0% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −355.5%, n=150 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (−18.6% over 49 fills); +$61.4K lifetime P&L, $4.1M traded, updated 2026-09-23.