PolyTrace
← Back to wallets

Trader profile

meagainsttheworld

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$173.1KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate62.2%725 settled · past 90 days78 open · 95% underwater · 8 hours ago
Lifetime volume$14.8M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded774Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+65.5% / $95% interval −37.9% to +169.0%308 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
+74.5%n=283 settled
Finance
−40.0%n=10 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 62.2% · Decided 725 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded8 hours ago
Current position value
$83.3K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$95.8K
Concentration
50.4%
Largest share of value
Positions
242
Showing the largest 8 of 242
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
YesValue$42KPnL−$8.2KAvg16.7¢Current14¢300,000.31Shares
Iran full airspace closure by September 30?
NoValue$6.7KPnL+$254Avg92.6¢Current96.2¢6,999.65Shares
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?
NoValue$6KPnL−$348Avg33.3¢Current31.5¢19,000.15Shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?
YesValue$4.8KPnL−$1KAvg6.7¢Current5.5¢88,000.45Shares
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
NoValue$3.7KPnL−$339Avg40.9¢Current37.5¢9,999.88Shares
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
NoValue$3.4KPnL−$911Avg19.6¢Current15.5¢22,247.8Shares
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?
NoValue$2.4KPnL−$652Avg28.6¢Current22.5¢10,668.01Shares
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$1.5KPnL−$8Avg38.4¢Current38.2¢3,999.99Shares
Showing 8 of 242 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet meagainsttheworld: 62.2% win rate over 725 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +65.5% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −37.9%, n=308 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (+74.5% over 283 fills); +$173.1K lifetime P&L, $14.8M traded, updated 2026-09-23.