PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0x9506…1c4f

Market makers
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL+$19.5KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…22 open · 24% underwater · 8 hours ago
Lifetime volume$607.5K1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,864Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+17.1% / $95% interval −124.1% to +158.4%52 settled fills · 90d window
Science
+17.1%n=52 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 34 minutes ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded8 hours ago
Current position value
$2.5K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$107.5K
Concentration
16%
Largest share of value
Positions
705
Showing the largest 8 of 705
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on September 24?
NoValue$408PnL+$54Avg66¢Current76¢536.63Shares
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on September 23?
YesValue$366PnL+$217Avg40¢Current98¢373.88Shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on September 23?
YesValue$312PnL+$216Avg30.9¢Current100¢312.32Shares
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 23?
NoValue$229PnL+$70Avg69.2¢Current99.7¢230.1Shares
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 23?
NoValue$190PnL+$96Avg49.4¢Current100¢189.99Shares
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on September 24?
YesValue$156PnL+$31Avg27.7¢Current34.5¢451.2Shares
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on September 24?
NoValue$155PnL−$7Avg81.5¢Current78¢198.41Shares
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on September 24?
YesValue$128PnL+$11Avg35¢Current38.5¢332.07Shares
Showing 8 of 705 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
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Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0x9506e646497107cabf2d5b941a8e6a60d0db1c4f: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge +17.1% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −124.1%, n=52 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Science (+17.1% over 52 fills); +$19.5K lifetime P&L, $607.5K traded, updated 2026-09-23.