PolyTrace
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Trader profile

takechip

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$27.4KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate38.1%661 settled · past 90 days2 open · 99% underwater · 5 hours ago
Lifetime volume$2.4M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded694Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+16.8% / $95% interval −37.7% to +71.3%58 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+18.5%n=57 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 38.1% · Decided 661 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded5 hours ago
Current position value
$307
Snapshot cash PnL
−$200.5K
Concentration
94%
Largest share of value
Positions
383
Showing the largest 8 of 383
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Trump out as President before 2027?
YesValue$288PnL−$96Avg6¢Current4.5¢6,405.78Shares
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?
NoValue$18PnL+$0.79Avg56¢Current58.5¢31.48Shares
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner
Inner Circle · YesValue$0PnL−$240Avg24¢Current0¢1,000Shares
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group A
Aurora Gaming · NoValue$0PnL−$645Avg43¢Current0¢1,500Shares
Will Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
NoValue$0PnL−$612Avg51¢Current0¢1,200Shares
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner
G2Value$0PnL−$720Avg48¢Current0¢1,499.97Shares
VfB Stuttgart vs. Viking FK: O/U 1.5
Under · NoValue$0PnL−$24Avg8¢Current0¢295.41Shares
Will Egypt reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
YesValue$0PnL−$348Avg13.4¢Current0¢2,599.99Shares
Showing 8 of 383 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet takechip: 38.1% win rate over 661 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +16.8% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −37.7%, n=58 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+18.5% over 57 fills); −$27.4K lifetime P&L, $2.4M traded, updated 2026-09-24.