PolyTrace
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Trader profile

Nopants

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$622Polymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate49%2,490 settled · past 180 days28 open · 49% underwater · 3 days ago
Lifetime volume$1.2M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded2,619Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−37.7% / $95% interval −79.3% to +3.9%11 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−37.7%n=11 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 49% · Decided 2,490 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded3 days ago
Current position value
$9.5K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$3.4K
Concentration
83.2%
Largest share of value
Positions
119
Showing the largest 8 of 119
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
NoValue$7.9KPnL+$3.9KAvg50¢Current98.6¢8,000Shares
Will Hannes Hanso be the next President of Estonia?
NoValue$203PnL−$0.20Avg99.9¢Current99.8¢203.39Shares
Will Ülle Madise be the next President of Estonia?
YesValue$201PnL−$3Avg99.6¢Current98¢205Shares
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
YesValue$166PnL+$64Avg56.5¢Current92.2¢180.26Shares
Will Riina Kionka be the next President of Estonia?
NoValue$153PnL+$0.08Avg99.9¢Current100¢152.89Shares
Will Riho Ühtegi be the next President of Estonia?
NoValue$120PnL+$0.39Avg99.4¢Current99.7¢120Shares
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
YesValue$116PnL−$3.9KAvg50¢Current1.5¢8,000Shares
Will Kate Fahey qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?
YesValue$90PnL+$36Avg37¢Current61.5¢146Shares
Showing 8 of 119 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Nopants: 49% win rate over 2,490 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −37.7% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −79.3%, n=11 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−37.7% over 11 fills); −$622 lifetime P&L, $1.2M traded, updated 2026-09-21.