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Trader profile

mountaindewd

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$116.8KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate54.9%122 settled · past 90 days52 open · 13% underwater · 2 hours ago
Lifetime volume$4M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded724Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−5.0% / $95% interval −31.2% to +21.1%31 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
+4.2%n=13 settled
Sports
−18.2%n=13 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 24 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 54.9% · Decided 122 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 hours ago
Current position value
$82K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$118.2K
Concentration
12.8%
Largest share of value
Positions
181
Showing the largest 8 of 181
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will voter turnout be between 59% and 62% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?
YesValue$10.5KPnL+$3.4KAvg66.9¢Current98.4¢10,662.11Shares
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
YesValue$8.4KPnL+$446Avg81.9¢Current86.5¢9,743.39Shares
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
NoValue$5.6KPnL−$40Avg71¢Current70.5¢7,999.9Shares
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
NoValue$5.1KPnL+$1.9KAvg59.2¢Current94.5¢5,443.99Shares
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
YesValue$4.5KPnL+$904Avg49.1¢Current61.5¢7,262.94Shares
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YesValue$4.4KPnL+$1.8KAvg33.5¢Current57.4¢7,727.84Shares
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
YesValue$4KPnL+$707Avg54¢Current65.5¢6,146.26Shares
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
YesValue$3.6KPnL+$1.2KAvg64.9¢Current99.2¢3,585.91Shares
Showing 8 of 181 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
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Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet mountaindewd: 54.9% win rate over 122 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −5.0% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −31.2%, n=31 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (+4.2% over 13 fills); +$116.8K lifetime P&L, $4M traded, updated 2026-09-24.