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Trader profile

LlamaLoco0000

Market makers
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL+$352.2KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…35 open · 94% underwater · 5 hours ago
Lifetime volume$28.8M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded282Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+19.5% / $95% interval −236.4% to +275.4%56 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
+54.8%n=21 settled
Sports
−11.8%n=35 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 2 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded5 hours ago
Current position value
$499.9K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$739.6K
Concentration
30.3%
Largest share of value
Positions
130
Showing the largest 8 of 130
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
NoValue$151.5KPnL−$8.7KAvg65.2¢Current61.7¢245,748.66Shares
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
YesValue$81.8KPnL−$13.7KAvg31.5¢Current27¢302,839.05Shares
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$67KPnL+$19.9KAvg22.2¢Current31.5¢212,729.22Shares
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
YesValue$31KPnL−$69KAvg21¢Current6.5¢477,358.85Shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
YesValue$27KPnL−$15.6KAvg21.3¢Current13.5¢200,224.06Shares
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
YesValue$26.4KPnL+$1.5KAvg10.8¢Current11.5¢229,235.55Shares
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$23KPnL−$95.4KAvg39.4¢Current7.7¢300,678.1Shares
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
YesValue$20.5KPnL−$20.6KAvg11¢Current5.5¢373,299.72Shares
Showing 8 of 130 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet LlamaLoco0000: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge +19.5% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −236.4%, n=56 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (+54.8% over 21 fills); +$352.2K lifetime P&L, $28.8M traded, updated 2026-09-24.