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Trader profile

peterfromfamilyguy

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$40.3KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate58.7%390 settled · past 90 days49 open · 56% underwater · 10 hours ago
Lifetime volume$2.5M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded597Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+8.3% / $95% interval −82.2% to +98.8%132 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
+24.2%n=82 settled
Finance
−1.4%n=16 settled
Sports
−28.8%n=19 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 22 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 58.7% · Decided 390 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded10 hours ago
Current position value
$45.9K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$3K
Concentration
8.7%
Largest share of value
Positions
57
Showing the largest 8 of 57
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Iran full airspace closure by September 30?
NoValue$4KPnL+$178Avg92.3¢Current96.7¢4,126.61Shares
Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
NoValue$3.7KPnL−$90Avg87.1¢Current85¢4,374.96Shares
Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
NoValue$3.1KPnL−$18Avg83.5¢Current83¢3,766.09Shares
Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium?
NoValue$3.1KPnL+$83Avg92¢Current94.5¢3,300.4Shares
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
NoValue$2.7KPnL+$868Avg63.1¢Current92.5¢2,954.81Shares
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
NoValue$2.7KPnL+$165Avg93.2¢Current99.3¢2,751.16Shares
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
NoValue$2.3KPnL−$18Avg71¢Current70.5¢3,331.76Shares
US recession by end of 2026?
NoValue$2.3KPnL+$76Avg89.4¢Current92.5¢2,473.65Shares
Showing 8 of 57 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet peterfromfamilyguy: 58.7% win rate over 390 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +8.3% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −82.2%, n=132 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (+24.2% over 82 fills); +$40.3K lifetime P&L, $2.5M traded, updated 2026-09-23.