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Trader profile

flowtp

Directional

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$4.5KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate44%25 settled · past 90 days0 open · 2 days ago
Lifetime volume$161K134 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded26Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−20.8% / $95% interval −379.4% to +337.8%23 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−23.3%n=22 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 44% · Decided 25 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded1 day ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$22.5K
Concentration
Largest share of value
Positions
14
Showing the largest 8 of 14
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
OverValue$0PnL$0AvgCurrent4,499.92Shares
Spencer Johnson · YesValue$0PnL$0AvgCurrent2,249.98Shares
Over · YesValue$0PnL−$2KAvg44¢Current4,644.29Shares
Taylor Fritz · YesValue$0PnL−$2.4KAvg63¢Current3,798.89Shares
Over · YesValue$0PnL−$1.6KAvg66¢Current2,479.9Shares
Over · YesValue$0PnL−$589Avg44¢Current1,338.53Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$5KAvg31.9¢Current15,742.68Shares
OverValue$0PnL$0AvgCurrent926Shares
Showing 8 of 14 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet flowtp: 44% win rate over 25 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −20.8% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −379.4%, n=23 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−23.3% over 22 fills); −$4.5K lifetime P&L, $161K traded, updated 2026-09-22.