PolyTrace
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Trader profile

Analista.

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$47.1KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate47.1%221 settled · past 90 days17 open · 64% underwater · 9 hours ago
Lifetime volume$3.1M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,311Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−12.6% / $95% interval −313.3% to +288.2%15 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
−30.1%n=13 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 24 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 47.1% · Decided 221 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded9 hours ago
Current position value
$3.4K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$911
Concentration
18.5%
Largest share of value
Positions
20
Showing the largest 8 of 20
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
YesValue$630PnL−$46Avg33.8¢Current31.5¢1,999.99Shares
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?
YesValue$363PnL−$521Avg35.4¢Current14.5¢2,500Shares
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 270M by September 25, 2026?
NoValue$297PnL+$119Avg59.7¢Current99.5¢299Shares
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?
YesValue$295PnL+$25Avg27¢Current29.5¢999.99Shares
Will the US announce a diesel export ban by September 30?
NoValue$285PnL+$40Avg74.3¢Current86.5¢330Shares
Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026?
NoValue$266PnL+$54Avg67¢Current84¢316.76Shares
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?
YesValue$245PnL+$8Avg48.4¢Current50¢490.7Shares
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30?
NoValue$235PnL+$101Avg53.6¢Current94¢249.99Shares
Showing 8 of 20 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Analista.: 47.1% win rate over 221 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −12.6% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −313.3%, n=15 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (−30.1% over 13 fills); +$47.1K lifetime P&L, $3.1M traded, updated 2026-09-23.