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Trader profile

kod.cip

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$7.8KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Not measured yet4 open · 99% underwater · 2 days ago
Lifetime volume$1.8M676 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded30Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−60.5% / $95% interval −444.6% to +323.6%23 settled fills · 90d window
Finance
−59.5%n=22 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 4 hours ago

How this record is measured

This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 days ago
Current position value
$303
Snapshot cash PnL
−$4.1K
Concentration
56.6%
Largest share of value
Positions
8
All shown
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
YesValue$171PnL−$210Avg0.5¢Current0.3¢68,500Shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?
YesValue$86PnL−$51Avg0.7¢Current0.5¢18,999.98Shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
YesValue$36PnL−$113Avg2.3¢Current0.5¢6,582.26Shares
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
YesValue$10PnL+$3Avg1.4¢Current2.3¢433.3Shares
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?
YesValue$0PnL−$57Avg1¢Current0¢5,717.26Shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
YesValue$0PnL−$546Avg12.7¢Current0¢4,300Shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
YesValue$0PnL−$2KAvg1¢Current0¢200,000Shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
YesValue$0PnL−$1.2KAvg0.3¢Current0¢420,001Shares
All 8 positions shown
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet kod.cip: edge −60.5% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −444.6%, n=23 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Finance (−59.5% over 22 fills); −$7.8K lifetime P&L, $1.8M traded, updated 2026-09-22.