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Trader profile

leCommissaire

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$101.1KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate55.1%626 settled · past 90 days96 open · 70% underwater · 2 hours ago
Lifetime volume$3.3M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded877Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

Win rate 55.1% · Decided 626 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 hours ago
Current position value
$14.7K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$2.1K
Concentration
16.3%
Largest share of value
Positions
96
Showing the largest 8 of 96
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?
NoValue$2.4KPnL+$225Avg86.5¢Current95.5¢2,500.01Shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$2KPnL+$165Avg76.6¢Current83.5¢2,405Shares
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?
NoValue$1.6KPnL+$59Avg45.7¢Current47.5¢3,354.92Shares
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$1.3KPnL+$330Avg52.2¢Current70.5¢1,800.03Shares
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$573PnL−$111Avg47.2¢Current39.5¢1,450Shares
Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$563PnL−$129Avg76.9¢Current62.5¢900Shares
Will Russia capture Shevchenko by October 31?
NoValue$432PnL+$25Avg67.8¢Current72¢600Shares
Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31?
NoValue$377PnL+$56Avg55.7¢Current65.5¢575Shares
Showing 8 of 96 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet leCommissaire: 55.1% win rate over 626 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); +$101.1K lifetime P&L, $3.3M traded, updated 2026-09-24.