PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0x9231…2212

Market makers
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL−$69.5KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…17 open · 12% underwater · 2 hours ago
Lifetime volume$2.1M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded171Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−24.1% / $95% interval −401.8% to +353.6%108 settled fills · 90d window
Crypto
−22.0%n=102 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 22 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 hours ago
Current position value
$38.4K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$11.7K
Concentration
23.9%
Largest share of value
Positions
26
Showing the largest 8 of 26
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$9.2KPnL+$2.9KAvg64.1¢Current93.5¢9,809.85Shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September?
NoValue$6.2KPnL+$36Avg96.5¢Current97.1¢6,416.83Shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$4.8KPnL+$1.3KAvg66.9¢Current90.5¢5,333.36Shares
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?
NoValue$4.1KPnL+$297Avg85.6¢Current92.4¢4,421.02Shares
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$3.9KPnL−$41Avg80.3¢Current79.5¢4,888.2Shares
Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December?
NoValue$2.5KPnL+$59Avg85.9¢Current88¢2,837.41Shares
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$2.5KPnL−$582Avg77.3¢Current62.5¢3,928.45Shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$1.5KPnL+$331Avg67.3¢Current86.5¢1,724.11Shares
Showing 8 of 26 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0x92318178c4b81150570b7f780183048631d82212: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge −24.1% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −401.8%, n=108 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Crypto (−22.0% over 102 fills); −$69.5K lifetime P&L, $2.1M traded, updated 2026-09-24.