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Trader profile

Natsan

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$18.6KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate54%3,906 settled · past 180 days42 open · 36% underwater · 2 days ago
Lifetime volume$1.1M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded3,079Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−7.5% / $95% interval −27.2% to +12.2%10 settled fills · 90d window

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 21 minutes ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 54% · Decided 3,906 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 days ago
Current position value
$4.8K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$251
Concentration
9.1%
Largest share of value
Positions
44
Showing the largest 8 of 44
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Rippling IPO before 2027?
NoValue$438PnL+$36Avg89.2¢Current97.4¢450Shares
Remote IPO before 2027?
NoValue$420PnL+$43Avg84.9¢Current94.5¢444Shares
Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?
YesValue$409PnL+$62Avg75.1¢Current88.5¢462.34Shares
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
YesValue$394PnL+$141Avg59.6¢Current92.8¢424.3Shares
Will Federação União Progressista (UPB) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?
YesValue$347PnL+$51Avg26.1¢Current30.5¢1,138.51Shares
Will Rodrigo Pacheco win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?
NoValue$328PnL+$18Avg94.6¢Current100¢328.01Shares
Will Celina Leão win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial election?
YesValue$214PnL+$10Avg79.6¢Current83.5¢256.29Shares
WHOOP IPO before 2027?
NoValue$176PnL+$26Avg84¢Current98.5¢178.2Shares
Showing 8 of 44 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Natsan: 54% win rate over 3,906 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −7.5% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −27.2%, n=10 settled fills over 90 days); −$18.6K lifetime P&L, $1.1M traded, updated 2026-09-22.