PolyTrace
← Back to wallets

Trader profile

0x9199Ba070C49A78d7b1EB029B5c03

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$52.1KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate56.3%103 settled · past 90 days0 open · 1 day ago
Lifetime volume$3.7M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded717Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−2.0% / $95% interval −149.4% to +145.4%47 settled fills · 90d window
Culture
+0.7%n=39 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 6 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 56.3% · Decided 103 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded9 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$31.1K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
94
Showing the largest 8 of 94
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?
YesValue$0PnL−$166Avg20¢Current0¢829.25Shares
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 86m?
YesValue$0PnL−$3.5KAvg38.2¢Current0¢9,145.69Shares
Will "Wicked: For Good" Second Weekend Box Office be between 93m and 101m?
YesValue$0PnL−$15Avg14¢Current0¢109.09Shares
Will MrBeast's animal charity video get 21 million or more views on day 1?
NoValue$0PnL−$0.03Avg0.3¢Current0¢10.24Shares
Will "How to Make a Killing" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3.5m and 5m?
YesValue$0PnL−$100Avg20¢Current0¢500Shares
Will "GOAT" Second Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 17.5m?
NoValue$0PnL−$911Avg35.2¢Current0¢2,591.4Shares
Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 70m?
YesValue$0PnL−$605Avg37.9¢Current0¢1,595.56Shares
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be less than 115m?
YesValue$0PnL−$19Avg0.2¢Current0¢9,679.12Shares
Showing 8 of 94 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0x9199Ba070C49A78d7b1EB029B5c03: 56.3% win rate over 103 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −2.0% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −149.4%, n=47 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Culture (+0.7% over 39 fills); +$52.1K lifetime P&L, $3.7M traded, updated 2026-09-24.