PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0x91784d82fbe4543459ee85fc9809be185d70a2b

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$43.6KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate41.8%196 settled · past 90 days8 open · 89% underwater · 7 hours ago
Lifetime volume$15.5M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded692Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−5.2% / $95% interval −370.4% to +360.0%25 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
−2.8%n=24 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 4 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 41.8% · Decided 196 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded7 hours ago
Current position value
$608
Snapshot cash PnL
−$360
Concentration
27.7%
Largest share of value
Positions
8
All shown
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
NoValue$169PnL+$28Avg4.5¢Current5.4¢3,125.01Shares
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?
NoValue$138PnL−$92Avg4.4¢Current2.7¢5,202.34Shares
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
YesValue$90PnL−$271Avg0.2¢Current0.1¢180,821.96Shares
Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?
YesValue$86PnL+$12Avg12¢Current14¢617.66Shares
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December?
YesValue$61PnL−$12Avg3.8¢Current3.2¢1,934.73Shares
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?
YesValue$33PnL+$10Avg3.7¢Current5.3¢621.08Shares
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by September 30?
YesValue$23PnL−$33Avg10¢Current4.1¢560.44Shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
YesValue$9PnL−$1Avg0.7¢Current0.7¢1,341.77Shares
All 8 positions shown
Results
Exposure
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Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0x91784d82fbe4543459ee85fc9809be185d70a…: 41.8% win rate over 196 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −5.2% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −370.4%, n=25 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (−2.8% over 24 fills); +$43.6K lifetime P&L, $15.5M traded, updated 2026-09-24.