PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0x913f…c676

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$27.7KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate64.6%497 settled · past 180 days1 open · 0% underwater · 2 hours ago
Lifetime volume$5M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded311Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−8.5% / $95% interval −116.9% to +100.0%224 settled fills · 90d window
Unmapped
+5.3%n=42 settled
Culture
−11.9%n=173 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 2 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 64.6% · Decided 497 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 hours ago
Current position value
$91
Snapshot cash PnL
−$150
Concentration
100%
Largest share of value
Positions
8
All shown
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?
YesValue$91PnL+$18Avg12.5¢Current15.5¢589.31Shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?
NoValue$0PnL−$0.27Avg48.7¢Current0¢0.56Shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
YesValue$0PnL−$66Avg2.3¢Current0¢2,864.17Shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?
NoValue$0PnL−$0.41Avg61.9¢Current0¢0.67Shares
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?
YesValue$0PnL−$2Avg0.2¢Current0¢999.99Shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?
NoValue$0PnL−$0.02Avg16.6¢Current0¢0.11Shares
Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in August 2026?
NoValue$0PnL−$0.30Avg36¢Current0¢0.84Shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?
YesValue$0PnL−$99Avg4.9¢Current0¢2,000Shares
All 8 positions shown
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0x913f5f691ce0a947cf60cd573cbdc7c66d8ec676: 64.6% win rate over 497 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −8.5% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −116.9%, n=224 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Culture (−11.9% over 173 fills); −$27.7K lifetime P&L, $5M traded, updated 2026-09-24.