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Trader profile

su281

Directional

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$24.7KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate47.7%1,285 settled · past 90 days10 open · 0% underwater · 12 hours ago
Lifetime volume$28.3M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded160Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+6.0% / $95% interval −11.7% to +23.8%285 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+6.7%n=278 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 24 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 47.7% · Decided 1,285 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded12 hours ago
Current position value
$9.1K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$1.5M
Concentration
73.3%
Largest share of value
Positions
631
Showing the largest 8 of 631
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
NoValue$6.7KPnL+$19Avg98.5¢Current98.8¢6,772.19Shares
YesValue$575PnL+$83Avg84.7¢Current99.1¢580.98Shares
NoValue$525PnL+$1Avg95¢Current95.3¢551.1Shares
NoValue$470PnL+$0.74Avg95¢Current95.2¢494.03Shares
NoValue$365PnL+$3Avg95¢Current95.9¢380.8Shares
NoValue$224PnL+$1Avg92¢Current92.5¢242.61Shares
NoValue$169PnL+$3Avg90¢Current91.5¢184.9Shares
NoValue$89PnL+$0.88Avg95¢Current96¢93.13Shares
Showing 8 of 631 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet su281: 47.7% win rate over 1,285 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +6.0% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −11.7%, n=285 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+6.7% over 278 fills); +$24.7K lifetime P&L, $28.3M traded, updated 2026-09-23.