PolyTrace
Back to wallets

Trader profile

mk3over

Directional

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$22.9KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate40.2%343 settled · past 90 days3 open · 12% underwater · 13 hours ago
Lifetime volume$401.2K757 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded354Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−19.0% / $95% interval −679.5% to +641.5%13 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−24.5%n=12 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 40.2% · Decided 343 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded13 hours ago
Current position value
$2.3K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$5.8K
Concentration
47.3%
Largest share of value
Positions
18
Showing the largest 8 of 18
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
SU Esports · YesValue$1.1KPnL+$505Avg54.3¢Current100¢1,105.91Shares
CITA Kaizen · YesValue$911PnL+$411Avg54.9¢Current100¢911.55Shares
Under · NoValue$322PnL−$128Avg29.3¢Current21¢1,534.56Shares
Sentinels · YesValue$0PnL−$500Avg53.8¢Current929.81Shares
eSuba · NoValue$0PnL−$10AvgCurrent200.4Shares
Arctic Pandas · YesValue$0PnL−$1.1KAvg60.1¢Current1,830.55Shares
ZSK · YesValue$0PnL−$365Avg24¢Current1,520.83Shares
Karmine Corp · YesValue$0PnL−$600Avg46.8¢Current1,283.07Shares
Showing 8 of 18 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet mk3over: 40.2% win rate over 343 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −19.0% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −679.5%, n=13 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−24.5% over 12 fills); −$22.9K lifetime P&L, $401.2K traded, updated 2026-09-23.