PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0x90bf…99eb

Market makers
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL−$92.2KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…4 open · 35% underwater · 3 hours ago
Lifetime volume$2.3M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded725Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−45.6% / $95% interval −144.7% to +53.5%107 settled fills · 90d window
Finance
−33.2%n=53 settled
Sports
−47.9%n=52 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 8 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded3 hours ago
Current position value
$3.6K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$5.2K
Concentration
47%
Largest share of value
Positions
38
Showing the largest 8 of 38
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
YesValue$1.7KPnL+$441Avg50.2¢Current67.5¢2,543.28Shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
YesValue$1.6KPnL+$31Avg70.1¢Current71.5¢2,168Shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
YesValue$373PnL−$214Avg48¢Current30.5¢1,223.52Shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
YesValue$9PnL−$34Avg2.6¢Current0.5¢1,684.74Shares
Hangzhou Open, Qualification: Kaigaoge Kang vs Akira Santillan
Kaigaoge Kang · YesValue$0PnL−$24Avg3.7¢Current0¢645.97Shares
Chengdu Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Linang Xiao
Linang Xiao · NoValue$0PnL−$15Avg12.7¢Current0¢120Shares
Sao Paulo Open: Suzan Lamens vs Solana Sierra
Solana Sierra · NoValue$0PnL−$3Avg49¢Current0¢5.49Shares
Chengdu Open, Qualification: Kaichi Uchida vs Federico Cina
Kaichi Uchida · YesValue$0PnL−$0.10Avg9¢Current0¢1.1Shares
Showing 8 of 38 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0x90bf2dbb1ab3b3c1bdd76d73848afcb19b5799eb: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge −45.6% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −144.7%, n=107 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Finance (−33.2% over 53 fills); −$92.2K lifetime P&L, $2.3M traded, updated 2026-09-24.