PolyTrace
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Trader profile

LITTLEBETS

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$22.3KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Only 19 settled so far0 open · 2 days ago
Lifetime volume$218K42 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded21Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−47.2% / $95% interval −165.8% to +71.3%28 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−47.2%n=28 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Too few positions have settled to establish a win-rate record.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded3 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$24.8K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
17
Showing the largest 8 of 17
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
US Open WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Eva Lys
Eva Lys · NoValue$0PnL−$951Avg10.5¢Current0¢9,024.69Shares
Cincinnati Open: Cameron Norrie vs Dino Prizmic
Dino Prizmic · NoValue$0PnL−$923Avg34¢Current0¢2,714.56Shares
Bonn: Jan Choinski vs Federico Agustin Gomez
Federico Agustin Gomez · NoValue$0PnL−$1.9KAvg27.5¢Current0¢6,997.37Shares
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Zizou Bergs
Zizou Bergs · NoValue$0PnL−$1.6KAvg21.2¢Current0¢7,498.27Shares
Liberec: Nicolas Kicker vs Frederico Ferreira Silva
Nicolas Kicker · YesValue$0PnL−$972Avg35¢Current0¢2,778.51Shares
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fery vs Alex de Minaur
Arthur Fery · YesValue$0PnL−$962Avg27¢Current0¢3,564.41Shares
US Open WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Leylah Fernandez
Leylah Fernandez · NoValue$0PnL−$2.9KAvg25.1¢Current0¢11,506.49Shares
Liberec: Martin Krumich vs Sumit Nagal
Martin Krumich · YesValue$0PnL−$893Avg21.7¢Current0¢4,119.74Shares
Showing 8 of 17 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet LITTLEBETS: edge −47.2% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −165.8%, n=28 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−47.2% over 28 fills); −$22.3K lifetime P&L, $218K traded, updated 2026-09-24.