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Trader profile

amused85

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$132.1KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate28.7%557 settled · past 90 days17 open · 87% underwater · 2 hours ago
Lifetime volume$20.4M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,589Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+8.7% / $95% interval −150.1% to +167.6%35 settled fills · 90d window
Unmapped
+84.3%n=11 settled
Crypto
−42.1%n=20 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 28.7% · Decided 557 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 hours ago
Current position value
$2K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$791.7K
Concentration
23.7%
Largest share of value
Positions
1,257
Showing the largest 8 of 1,257
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$473PnL+$72Avg26.7¢Current31.5¢1,500Shares
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$254PnL−$40Avg30.1¢Current26¢977.21Shares
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$222PnL+$29Avg26.6¢Current30.5¢726.66Shares
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?
YesValue$203PnL−$62Avg17.7¢Current13.5¢1,499.98Shares
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$200PnL+$81Avg11.9¢Current20¢1,000Shares
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$165PnL−$202Avg24.5¢Current11¢1,499Shares
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?
NoValue$106PnL+$31Avg24.8¢Current35¢302.03Shares
Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
YesValue$92PnL−$344Avg13.5¢Current2.9¢3,218.88Shares
Showing 8 of 1,257 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet amused85: 28.7% win rate over 557 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +8.7% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −150.1%, n=35 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Crypto (−42.1% over 20 fills); −$132.1K lifetime P&L, $20.4M traded, updated 2026-09-24.