PolyTrace
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Trader profile

747281

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$605Polymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Only 12 settled so far12 open · 5% underwater · 18 hours ago
Lifetime volume$161.8K212 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded47Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−24.7% / $95% interval −78.8% to +29.5%18 settled fills · 90d window
Finance
−27.4%n=15 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 24 hours ago

How this record is measured

Too few positions have settled to establish a win-rate record.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded18 hours ago
Current position value
$8.9K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$1K
Concentration
93.3%
Largest share of value
Positions
17
Showing the largest 8 of 17
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?
NoValue$8.3KPnL+$446Avg88¢Current93¢8,931.71Shares
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?
NoValue$321PnL+$18Avg68.5¢Current72.5¢442.47Shares
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YesValue$245PnL−$6Avg60.5¢Current59¢415.46Shares
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?
YesValue$17PnL−$7Avg22.3¢Current15.7¢107.84Shares
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
YesValue$5PnL−$1Avg0.6¢Current0.5¢1,000Shares
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
YesValue$2PnL−$0.50Avg0.2¢Current0.2¢1,000Shares
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
YesValue$2PnL−$2Avg0.3¢Current0.2¢1,000Shares
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
YesValue$2PnL−$5Avg0.6¢Current0.2¢1,000Shares
Showing 8 of 17 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 747281: edge −24.7% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −78.8%, n=18 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Finance (−27.4% over 15 fills); −$605 lifetime P&L, $161.8K traded, updated 2026-09-23.