PolyTrace
← Back to wallets

Trader profile

MelonCusk

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$27.8KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate25.8%434 settled · past 180 days10 open · 100% underwater · 7 hours ago
Lifetime volume$6.6M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded993Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−40.0% / $95% interval −670.1% to +590.1%10 settled fills · 90d window

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 25.8% · Decided 434 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded7 hours ago
Current position value
$52
Snapshot cash PnL
−$6.1K
Concentration
56.9%
Largest share of value
Positions
149
Showing the largest 8 of 149
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026
YesValue$30PnL−$100Avg5¢Current1.2¢2,589.03Shares
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?
YesValue$5PnL−$5Avg0.1¢Current0.1¢10,000Shares
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?
YesValue$3PnL−$3Avg0.1¢Current0.1¢4,999.98Shares
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?
YesValue$3PnL−$3Avg0.1¢Current0.1¢5,000Shares
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?
YesValue$2PnL−$2Avg0.1¢Current0.1¢4,729Shares
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?
YesValue$2PnL−$2Avg0.1¢Current0.1¢4,729Shares
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?
YesValue$2PnL−$2Avg0.1¢Current0.1¢4,585Shares
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?
YesValue$2PnL−$2Avg0.1¢Current0.1¢4,500Shares
Showing 8 of 149 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet MelonCusk: 25.8% win rate over 434 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −40.0% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −670.1%, n=10 settled fills over 90 days); −$27.8K lifetime P&L, $6.6M traded, updated 2026-09-24.