PolyTrace
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Trader profile

cashy

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$552.8KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate55.8%52 settled · past 90 days20 open · 92% underwater · 2 hours ago
Lifetime volume$13.7M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded742Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−19.8% / $95% interval −152.7% to +113.2%21 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
−20.4%n=15 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 22 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 55.8% · Decided 52 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 hours ago
Current position value
$68.5K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$33.5K
Concentration
18.6%
Largest share of value
Positions
49
Showing the largest 8 of 49
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Iran Nuke before 2027?
NoValue$12.7KPnL+$1.2KAvg86.3¢Current95.5¢13,331.97Shares
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
YesValue$10.7KPnL−$83Avg88.2¢Current87.5¢12,221Shares
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
YesValue$7.7KPnL−$5.8KAvg26.9¢Current15.4¢50,000Shares
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
NoValue$6.8KPnL−$1.7KAvg46.8¢Current37.5¢18,054.89Shares
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
NoValue$5KPnL−$28Avg89¢Current88.5¢5,697.95Shares
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
NoValue$4.2KPnL+$114Avg94.6¢Current97.3¢4,270.71Shares
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
NoValue$4KPnL−$16Avg70.8¢Current70.5¢5,669.89Shares
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
YesValue$3.8KPnL−$303Avg48.6¢Current45¢8,504.43Shares
Showing 8 of 49 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet cashy: 55.8% win rate over 52 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −19.8% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −152.7%, n=21 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (−20.4% over 15 fills); +$552.8K lifetime P&L, $13.7M traded, updated 2026-09-24.