PolyTrace
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Trader profile

dwpoker

Directional

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$16KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate71.3%80 settled · past 90 days83 open · 38% underwater · 17 hours ago
Lifetime volume$4.5M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded827Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−14.4% / $95% interval −27.7% to −1.2%26 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
+3.9%n=12 settled
Crypto
−23.3%n=10 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 71.3% · Decided 80 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded17 hours ago
Current position value
$316.2K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$162.3K
Concentration
10.9%
Largest share of value
Positions
145
Showing the largest 8 of 145
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
NoValue$34.4KPnL+$4.6KAvg74.1¢Current85.5¢40,222.33Shares
YesValue$32KPnL+$8.3KAvg71.5¢Current96.5¢33,213.62Shares
NoValue$12.4KPnL+$258Avg97.5¢Current99.6¢12,499.98Shares
NoValue$11.7KPnL+$1KAvg85.2¢Current93.5¢12,499.96Shares
NoValue$10.1KPnL−$1.2KAvg90.6¢Current81¢12,500Shares
NoValue$9.4KPnL+$850Avg85¢Current93.5¢10,000Shares
NoValue$9.1KPnL−$445Avg95.6¢Current91.1¢10,000Shares
NoValue$8.8KPnL−$600Avg94¢Current88¢10,000Shares
Showing 8 of 145 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet dwpoker: 71.3% win rate over 80 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −14.4% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −27.7%, n=26 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (+3.9% over 12 fills); +$16K lifetime P&L, $4.5M traded, updated 2026-09-23.