PolyTrace
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Trader profile

abdoohl

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$15.2KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate46.9%209 settled · past 90 days33 open · 99% underwater · 7 hours ago
Lifetime volume$1.7M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded308Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−16.8% / $95% interval −570.1% to +536.5%11 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
−16.8%n=11 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 6 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 46.9% · Decided 209 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded7 hours ago
Current position value
$7.9K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$3.5K
Concentration
20.5%
Largest share of value
Positions
33
Showing the largest 8 of 33
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?
NoValue$1.6KPnL−$282Avg35.8¢Current30.5¢5,319.07Shares
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?
NoValue$1.4KPnL−$276Avg62.5¢Current52.5¢2,744.82Shares
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$1.3KPnL−$71Avg34.3¢Current32.5¢3,890.06Shares
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$898PnL−$1.4KAvg16.8¢Current6.5¢13,822.06Shares
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?
YesValue$683PnL−$209Avg35.9¢Current27.5¢2,483.04Shares
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?
YesValue$345PnL−$51Avg27¢Current23.5¢1,468.53Shares
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
NoValue$289PnL−$238Avg21¢Current11.5¢2,509.48Shares
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$263PnL−$293Avg26.4¢Current12.5¢2,102.68Shares
Showing 8 of 33 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
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Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet abdoohl: 46.9% win rate over 209 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −16.8% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −570.1%, n=11 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (−16.8% over 11 fills); +$15.2K lifetime P&L, $1.7M traded, updated 2026-09-24.