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Trader profile

taut-dogwood

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$48.2KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate94.9%39 settled · past 90 days22 open · 27% underwater · 2 hours ago
Lifetime volume$2.8M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded282Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

Win rate 94.9% · Decided 39 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 hours ago
Current position value
$36.7K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$241
Concentration
51.7%
Largest share of value
Positions
24
Showing the largest 8 of 24
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the September meeting?
YesValue$19KPnL+$10Avg99.6¢Current99.7¢19,044.12Shares
Will the Swiss National Bank increase the SNB policy rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?
NoValue$7.1KPnL+$1Avg99.6¢Current99.7¢7,100Shares
Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2026 meeting?
NoValue$2.2KPnL$0Avg99.9¢Current99.9¢2,174.4Shares
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
YesValue$1.9KPnL+$15Avg95.7¢Current96.5¢1,962.44Shares
Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting?
NoValue$1.7KPnL+$2Avg99.3¢Current99.5¢1,703.08Shares
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?
NoValue$1.5KPnL+$15Avg96¢Current97.1¢1,510.89Shares
Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2026 meeting?
NoValue$1KPnL+$0.03Avg99.9¢Current99.9¢1,025Shares
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?
YesValue$863PnL−$16Avg99.2¢Current97.4¢885.99Shares
Showing 8 of 24 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet taut-dogwood: 94.9% win rate over 39 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); +$48.2K lifetime P&L, $2.8M traded, updated 2026-09-24.