PolyTrace
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Trader profile

Averagebrazilian

Directional

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$13.3KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate46.1%800 settled · past 180 days6 open · 97% underwater · 2 hours ago
Lifetime volume$2.3M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded968Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+41.5% / $95% interval −279.6% to +362.6%49 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+46.1%n=47 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 46.1% · Decided 800 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 hours ago
Current position value
$423
Snapshot cash PnL
−$220K
Concentration
76.6%
Largest share of value
Positions
384
Showing the largest 8 of 384
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Fuego · YesValue$324PnL−$17Avg10¢Current9.5¢3,412.9Shares
Fuego · YesValue$50PnL+$17Avg19¢Current28.5¢176.98Shares
YesValue$40PnL−$326AvgCurrent0.7¢6,090.82Shares
YesValue$7PnL+$5Avg7.4¢Current32.5¢20.52Shares
YesValue$2PnL−$129Avg3.8¢Current0.1¢3,458.47Shares
YesValue$0.72PnL−$168Avg11.7¢Current0.1¢1,446.13Shares
SentinelsValue$0PnL−$290Avg23.7¢Current1,224.53Shares
SK Gaming · NoValue$0PnL−$291Avg27.7¢Current1,050Shares
Showing 8 of 384 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Averagebrazilian: 46.1% win rate over 800 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge +41.5% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −279.6%, n=49 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+46.1% over 47 fills); +$13.3K lifetime P&L, $2.3M traded, updated 2026-09-24.