PolyTrace
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Trader profile

mindbend

Market makers
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL+$36KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…0 open · 20 hours ago
Lifetime volume$1.1M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded683Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+15.9% / $95% interval −8.6% to +40.4%58 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+21.3%n=41 settled
Unmapped
−1.0%n=17 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 2 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded15 hours ago
Current position value
$3
Snapshot cash PnL
−$66.4K
Concentration
30.1%
Largest share of value
Positions
187
Showing the largest 8 of 187
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
LoL: BOMBA Team vs Lodis - Game 2 Winner
LodisValue$0.80PnL+$0.24Avg70¢Current100¢0.8Shares
LoL: Team Aqua ASD vs CITA Kaizen (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B
CITA Kaizen · NoValue$0.73PnL+$0.45Avg39¢Current100¢0.73Shares
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs Barça eSports - Game 2 Winner
⁠Movistar KOI FénixValue$0.68PnL+$0.16Avg76¢Current100¢0.68Shares
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 4 Winner
⁠Movistar KOI FénixValue$0.45PnL+$0.35Avg22¢Current100¢0.45Shares
LoL: Cupid Esports vs Maryville University (BO3) - North American Challengers League Playoffs
Maryville University · NoValue$0PnL−$12Avg51¢Current0¢24.25Shares
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner
Dplus KIAValue$0PnL−$133Avg25¢Current0¢531.66Shares
LoL: Solary vs Ici Japon Corp. Esport (BO1) - LFL Regular Season
Ici Japon Corp. Esport · NoValue$0PnL−$66Avg24.8¢Current0¢265.8Shares
LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winner
FlyQuest · NoValue$0PnL−$124Avg20¢Current0¢621Shares
Showing 8 of 187 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet mindbend: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge +15.9% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −8.6%, n=58 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+21.3% over 41 fills); +$36K lifetime P&L, $1.1M traded, updated 2026-09-23.