Trader profile

0x8cb5…f15a

Market makers

Profile updated2026-09-23

Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗

Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL−$917Polymarket leaderboard · lifetime

Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…1 open · 20 hours ago

Lifetime volume$594.3K954 trades · Polymarket

Markets traded259Lifetime coverage

Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

−23.6% / $95% interval −272.5% to +225.4%97 settled fills · 90d window

Sports: −21.5%n=94 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 2 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Current holdings

Sources

Holdings use the current Polymarket portfolio snapshot.

Last loaded20 hours ago

Current position value: $2
Snapshot cash PnL: −$1.6K
Concentration: 100%
Positions: 18

EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares

Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by September 23, 2026?

NoValue$2PnL$0Avg96¢Current96¢1.94Shares

Cruzeiro EC vs. CA Paranaense: Neither team to score first?

YesValue$0PnL−$2Avg2.3¢Current0¢85.54Shares

Antalya 4: Lucia Bronzetti vs Irene Burillo Escorihuela

Lucia Bronzetti · YesValue$0PnL−$3Avg21¢Current0¢12.76Shares

Swiss Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud

Casper Ruud · NoValue$0PnL−$29Avg63.4¢Current0¢45.71Shares

The Memphis Classic: Katie Volynets vs Viktorija Golubic

Viktorija Golubic · NoValue$0PnL−$58Avg81¢Current0¢71.75Shares

Baltimore Orioles vs. Colorado Rockies

Baltimore Orioles · YesValue$0PnL−$446Avg74¢Current0¢603Shares

Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC win on 2026-09-20?

YesValue$0PnL−$0.37Avg88.4¢Current0¢0.42Shares

Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Phantom (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1: Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Phantom · NoValue$0PnL−$115Avg26¢Current0¢441.8Shares

Showing 8 of 18 positions by current value

Results by category

Sources

Category results use decided positions from the last 90 days.

Results

Exposure

Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

4 days ago

SELLYES

6m+ · 93.7¢

"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 8th Weekend Box OfficeOpen market →$1.2K

7 days ago

BUYNO

970m+ · 99.9¢

"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?Open market →$1.4K

19 days ago

BUYYES

Draw (FC Internazionale Milano vs. SSC Napoli) · 60¢

Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?Open market →$1K

19 days ago

BUYYES

Draw (FC Internazionale Milano vs. SSC Napoli) · 64.1¢

Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?Open market →$1.2K

19 days ago

SELLNO

SSC Napoli · 47¢

Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-09-05?Open market →$1.4K

About this wallet

Wallet 0x8cb56f8a6205b714d043b23443632d0374c4f15a: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge −23.6% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −272.5%, n=97 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−21.5% over 94 fills); −$917 lifetime P&L, $594.3K traded, updated 2026-09-23.