Last loaded6 hours ago
- Current position value
- $0
- Snapshot cash PnL
- −$11.6K
- Concentration
- — Largest share of value
- Positions
- 18 Showing the largest 8 of 18
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Showing 8 of 18 positions by current value
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Trader profile
0x8ca1…58ac
DirectionalHistorical record
Loss-making historically.
Lifetime PnL−$18.2KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate42.9%56 settled · past 90 days0 open · 13 days ago
Lifetime volume$188K509 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded56Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price
How this is computedProfit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.
−15.4% / $95% interval −100.0% to +69.2%23 settled fills · 90d window
- Sports
- −15.4%n=23 settled
A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.
This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.
Measured 4 hours ago
How this record is measured
Win rate 42.9% · Decided 56 · 90d
Observed activity
Where and how this wallet trades
Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.
No category data for this wallet.
No tracked trading behavior yet.
Current holdings
Sources
Holdings use the current Polymarket portfolio snapshot.
Results by category
Sources
Category results use decided positions from the last 90 days.
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…
Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.
Recent activity
Whale activity over 30 days
Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.
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Large trades
Recent large trades
Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations
no result — Market settled — no result snapshot for this wallet yet.
$1.4K✗ lost — Market settled and this position lost.
$1K✗ lost — Market settled and this position lost.
$1K✗ lost — Market settled and this position lost.
$1.1Kno result — Market settled — no result snapshot for this wallet yet.
$1.9KAbout this wallet
Wallet 0x8ca1de0e3fef0fb3f98e3168de825b19f62e58ac: 42.9% win rate over 56 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −15.4% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −100.0%, n=23 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−15.4% over 23 fills); −$18.2K lifetime P&L, $188K traded, updated 2026-09-24.