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Trader profile

nelbal8486

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$24.1KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate75.5%49 settled · past 90 days26 open · 42% underwater · 19 hours ago
Lifetime volume$1.5M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded140Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+21.4% / $95% interval −184.6% to +227.5%31 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+30.3%n=19 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 75.5% · Decided 49 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded19 hours ago
Current position value
$98.4K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$23.2K
Concentration
69.3%
Largest share of value
Positions
50
Showing the largest 8 of 50
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
NoValue$68.2KPnL+$1.5KAvg94.9¢Current97.1¢70,284.72Shares
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
NoValue$7.2KPnL+$2.1KAvg69¢Current97.2¢7,414.53Shares
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
YesValue$5.8KPnL+$1.3KAvg64.6¢Current82.5¢7,079.24Shares
UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?
NoValue$3.1KPnL+$0.01Avg95.6¢Current95.6¢3,199.99Shares
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$2.8KPnL+$196Avg82.3¢Current88.5¢3,180.71Shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$2.5KPnL−$3.3KAvg66.2¢Current28.5¢8,780.41Shares
Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?
YesValue$1.7KPnL−$599Avg71.2¢Current52.5¢3,200Shares
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
YesValue$1.2KPnL$0Avg15¢Current15¢8,000Shares
Showing 8 of 50 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet nelbal8486: 75.5% win rate over 49 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +21.4% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −184.6%, n=31 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+30.3% over 19 fills); +$24.1K lifetime P&L, $1.5M traded, updated 2026-09-23.