PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0x8c3a…eb16

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$1.7KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate24.6%130 settled · past 180 days0 open · 21 days ago
Lifetime volume$283.3K385 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded129Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+11.4% / $95% interval −347.6% to +370.4%22 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+11.4%n=22 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 24.6% · Decided 130 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 days ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$9.9K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
26
Showing the largest 8 of 26
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Vancouver: Kayla Day vs Mai Hontama
Kayla Day · YesValue$0PnL−$474Avg63¢Current0¢752.9Shares
The Memphis Classic: Tatiana Prozorova vs Peyton Stearns
Tatiana Prozorova · YesValue$0PnL−$204Avg16¢Current0¢1,275.25Shares
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Marsborne (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries North American Qualifier Playoffs
Marsborne · NoValue$0PnL−$412Avg19¢Current0¢2,169.42Shares
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs TDK (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs
Nemiga · YesValue$0PnL−$175Avg27.5¢Current0¢635.15Shares
The Memphis Classic: Iryna Shymanovich vs Katie Volynets
Iryna Shymanovich · YesValue$0PnL−$114Avg8¢Current0¢1,425Shares
Liberec: Nicolas Kicker vs Frederico Ferreira Silva
Nicolas Kicker · YesValue$0PnL−$680Avg34¢Current0¢1,999.99Shares
Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Galorys (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffs
Galorys · NoValue$0PnL−$183Avg12¢Current0¢1,533.47Shares
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega
KRÜ Esports · NoValue$0PnL−$26Avg12¢Current0¢219.33Shares
Showing 8 of 26 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0x8c3afcc8d1a2f33a0d224b3b09155ad282b9eb16: 24.6% win rate over 130 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge +11.4% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −347.6%, n=22 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+11.4% over 22 fills); +$1.7K lifetime P&L, $283.3K traded, updated 2026-09-22.