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Trader profile

Palace8709

Directional

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$12.1KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate98.1%572 settled · past 90 days5 open · 75% underwater · 4 hours ago
Lifetime volume$1.6M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded2,154Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−23.8% / $95% interval −295.0% to +247.4%60 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
+5.6%n=12 settled
Unmapped
−3.0%n=13 settled
Finance
−44.1%n=25 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 98.1% · Decided 572 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded4 hours ago
Current position value
$1.2K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$1.2K
Concentration
93.2%
Largest share of value
Positions
14
Showing the largest 8 of 14
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
YesValue$1.1KPnL+$102Avg48.4¢Current53.5¢2,026.64Shares
NoValue$54PnL−$2Avg69.1¢Current67¢80.92Shares
NoValue$23PnL+$7Avg37.5¢Current53¢43.92Shares
NoValue$2PnL−$318Avg64¢Current0.4¢500Shares
NoValue$0.13PnL−$0.10Avg78¢Current45¢0.29Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$15Avg0.1¢Current15,000Shares
NoValue$0PnL−$372Avg96.7¢Current384.64Shares
Showing 8 of 14 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
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Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Palace8709: 98.1% win rate over 572 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −23.8% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −295.0%, n=60 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (+5.6% over 12 fills); −$12.1K lifetime P&L, $1.6M traded, updated 2026-09-24.