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Trader profile

Overlord36912

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$5.2KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate68.8%80 settled · past 180 days7 open · 83% underwater · 22 hours ago
Lifetime volume$297.4K241 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded126Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−19.1% / $95% interval −327.7% to +289.5%17 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−20.8%n=10 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 68.8% · Decided 80 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded22 hours ago
Current position value
$6.9K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$6.7K
Concentration
24.7%
Largest share of value
Positions
20
Showing the largest 8 of 20
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$1.7KPnL+$193Avg78.9¢Current89¢1,902.06Shares
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
YesValue$1.6KPnL+$95Avg87¢Current92.5¢1,724.14Shares
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?
YesValue$1.1KPnL+$95Avg79¢Current86.5¢1,266.03Shares
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
YesValue$1KPnL+$28Avg76.4¢Current78.5¢1,309.01Shares
Kash Patel out by December 31?
YesValue$502PnL−$1.5KAvg83.7¢Current21¢2,388.11Shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
YesValue$483PnL−$517Avg30¢Current14.5¢3,333.33Shares
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?
YesValue$466PnL−$25Avg90¢Current85.5¢544.44Shares
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on August 10?
YesValue$0PnL−$1Avg0.1¢Current0¢1,000Shares
Showing 8 of 20 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Overlord36912: 68.8% win rate over 80 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −19.1% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −327.7%, n=17 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−20.8% over 10 fills); −$5.2K lifetime P&L, $297.4K traded, updated 2026-09-23.