PolyTrace
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Trader profile

Bet1nthedark

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$17.5KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate91.7%60 settled · past 90 days21 open · 61% underwater · 2 hours ago
Lifetime volume$2M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded256Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+2.0% / $95% interval −6.2% to +10.2%43 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
+2.8%n=28 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 2 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 91.7% · Decided 60 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 hours ago
Current position value
$90.2K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$66.4K
Concentration
23.3%
Largest share of value
Positions
23
Showing the largest 8 of 23
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
NoValue$21KPnL+$632Avg83.9¢Current86.5¢24,250Shares
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
NoValue$6.6KPnL+$278Avg88.6¢Current92.5¢7,120.24Shares
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
YesValue$6.5KPnL−$5.5KAvg57.9¢Current31.5¢20,762.88Shares
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
NoValue$6.4KPnL+$346Avg87.5¢Current92.5¢6,899.98Shares
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
YesValue$5.4KPnL+$346Avg86.6¢Current92.5¢5,864.98Shares
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026
NoValue$4.7KPnL+$168Avg95.6¢Current99.2¢4,709.34Shares
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
YesValue$4.2KPnL+$1.7KAvg59¢Current99.4¢4,250Shares
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?
NoValue$3.6KPnL+$89Avg95.4¢Current97.8¢3,668.37Shares
Showing 8 of 23 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Bet1nthedark: 91.7% win rate over 60 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +2.0% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −6.2%, n=43 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (+2.8% over 28 fills); −$17.5K lifetime P&L, $2M traded, updated 2026-09-24.