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Trader profile

Joe-Biden

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$1.5MPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate40.4%47 settled · past 90 days11 open · 99% underwater · 1 hour ago
Lifetime volume$34.5M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded137Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−10.5% / $95% interval −50.8% to +29.9%152 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−10.5%n=152 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 21 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 40.4% · Decided 47 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded1 hour ago
Current position value
$33.1K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$2.7M
Concentration
34.5%
Largest share of value
Positions
112
Showing the largest 8 of 112
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$11.4KPnL−$15.9KAvg9.7¢Current4.1¢281,150.35Shares
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?
YesValue$10.4KPnL−$1.4KAvg3¢Current2.7¢394,185.5Shares
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
YesValue$4.6KPnL−$160Avg15¢Current14.5¢32,023.63Shares
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$3.7KPnL−$6.3KAvg9.9¢Current3.7¢100,011.05Shares
Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
YesValue$1.6KPnL−$513Avg2.3¢Current1.8¢93,823.73Shares
Will Sporting CP win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
YesValue$752PnL−$251Avg0.6¢Current0.5¢167,161.53Shares
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
YesValue$269PnL−$586Avg27¢Current8.5¢3,167.68Shares
Will Como win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
YesValue$222PnL+$137Avg0.4¢Current1.1¢21,144.07Shares
Showing 8 of 112 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Joe-Biden: 40.4% win rate over 47 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −10.5% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −50.8%, n=152 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−10.5% over 152 fills); +$1.5M lifetime P&L, $34.5M traded, updated 2026-09-24.