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Trader profile

Lurpis

Directional

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$5.3KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate50.4%139 settled · past 180 days0 open · 3 days ago
Lifetime volume$169K205 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded140Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−15.1% / $95% interval −41.8% to +11.6%23 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−15.1%n=23 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 50.4% · Decided 139 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded3 days ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$21.9K
Concentration
Largest share of value
Positions
58
Showing the largest 8 of 58
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
England · YesValue$0PnL−$575Avg47.5¢Current1,210.45Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$100Avg26¢Current384.62Shares
Over · YesValue$0PnL−$300Avg59.7¢Current502.82Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$300Avg58¢Current517.24Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$49Avg14¢Current350.93Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$63Avg56¢Current112.05Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$100Avg56¢Current178.57Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$83Avg27.8¢Current299.22Shares
Showing 8 of 58 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Lurpis: 50.4% win rate over 139 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −15.1% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −41.8%, n=23 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−15.1% over 23 fills); −$5.3K lifetime P&L, $169K traded, updated 2026-09-21.