PolyTrace
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Trader profile

nobody2somebody

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$101.3KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate48.3%652 settled · past 90 days4 open · 84% underwater · 13 hours ago
Lifetime volume$3M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,027Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−13.7% / $95% interval −32.6% to +5.2%303 settled fills · 90d window
Unmapped
−9.3%n=10 settled
Sports
−12.9%n=291 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 4 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 48.3% · Decided 652 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded13 hours ago
Current position value
$4.1K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$416.8K
Concentration
42.5%
Largest share of value
Positions
330
Showing the largest 8 of 330
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YesValue$1.7KPnL−$350Avg48.7¢Current40.5¢4,272.72Shares
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
NoValue$1.2KPnL+$155Avg86.3¢Current99.3¢1,200Shares
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
NoValue$807PnL−$302Avg59¢Current43¢1,878.21Shares
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
YesValue$348PnL−$152Avg61¢Current42.5¢819.67Shares
Valorant: TEC Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Map 2 Winner
Bilibili Gaming · NoValue$0PnL−$1.9KAvg44.2¢Current0¢4,263.3Shares
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Playoffs
Team Falcons · NoValue$0PnL−$1.1KAvg27.6¢Current0¢3,981.48Shares
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 8?
Down · NoValue$0PnL−$88Avg39.9¢Current0¢220.16Shares
LoL: T1 vs Kiwoom DRX (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage
Kiwoom DRX · NoValue$0PnL−$1.3KAvg59.5¢Current0¢2,150.6Shares
Showing 8 of 330 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet nobody2somebody: 48.3% win rate over 652 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −13.7% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −32.6%, n=303 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−12.9% over 291 fills); −$101.3K lifetime P&L, $3M traded, updated 2026-09-23.