PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0x8aaa…51df

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$52.7KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate44.5%182 settled · past 180 days9 open · 93% underwater · 22 hours ago
Lifetime volume$1.3M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded214Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−5.0% / $95% interval −163.9% to +153.9%15 settled fills · 90d window

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 4 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 44.5% · Decided 182 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded22 hours ago
Current position value
$14K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$40.7K
Concentration
23.6%
Largest share of value
Positions
123
Showing the largest 8 of 123
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
YesValue$3.3KPnL+$137Avg83.9¢Current87.5¢3,777Shares
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
NoValue$3KPnL−$940Avg46.5¢Current35.5¢8,529.64Shares
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
YesValue$2.7KPnL+$83Avg48¢Current49.5¢5,555Shares
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
NoValue$2KPnL+$122Avg83¢Current88.5¢2,222Shares
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
NoValue$1.6KPnL−$1.2KAvg25.7¢Current14.5¢10,815.86Shares
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
NoValue$695PnL−$1.9KAvg11.8¢Current3.2¢22,053.14Shares
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?
NoValue$570PnL−$230Avg40¢Current28.5¢2,000Shares
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?
NoValue$85PnL−$382Avg14¢Current2.6¢3,332.99Shares
Showing 8 of 123 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0x8aaaac8e8523492db360b722af35177f4d4d51df: 44.5% win rate over 182 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −5.0% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −163.9%, n=15 settled fills over 90 days); +$52.7K lifetime P&L, $1.3M traded, updated 2026-09-23.