Last loaded3 days ago
- Current position value
- $25
- Snapshot cash PnL
- −$298
- Concentration
- 100% Largest share of value
- Positions
- 1 All shown
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
NoValue$25PnL−$298Avg23.7¢Current1.8¢1,363.8Shares
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Trader profile
caiseran
DirectionalHistorical record
Loss-making historically.
Lifetime PnL−$42KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Not measured yet1 open · 100% underwater · 3 days ago
Lifetime volume$1.1M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded427Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price
How this is computedProfit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.
−4.3% / $95% interval −434.8% to +426.3%17 settled fills · 90d window
- Sports
- −4.3%n=17 settled
A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.
This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.
Measured 5 hours ago
How this record is measured
This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.
Observed activity
Where and how this wallet trades
Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.
No category data for this wallet.
No tracked trading behavior yet.
Current holdings
Sources
Holdings use the current Polymarket portfolio snapshot.
Results by category
Sources
Category results use decided positions from the last 90 days.
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…
Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.
Recent activity
Whale activity over 30 days
Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.
Loading tracked activity…
Large trades
Recent large trades
Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations
no result — Market settled — no result snapshot for this wallet yet.
$3.8Kno result — Market settled — no result snapshot for this wallet yet.
$2.3Kno result — Market settled — no result snapshot for this wallet yet.
$2.6Kno result — Market settled — no result snapshot for this wallet yet.
$1.7Kno result — Market settled — no result snapshot for this wallet yet.
$7.2KAbout this wallet
Wallet caiseran: edge −4.3% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −434.8%, n=17 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−4.3% over 17 fills); −$42K lifetime P&L, $1.1M traded, updated 2026-09-21.